Printable Brochure (PDF)Predict Ship Dates
Using a statistical technique we developed called Evidence-Based Scheduling (EBS), FogBugz displays a probability curve of ship dates, showing you the probability that you’ll ship on any given date. You can find out how realistic that official date is, so you can tell your boss with a straight face: “Yes, we can ship on time. With 4% probability.”
EBS works by doing a Monte Carlo simulation, taking into account:
- Each developer’s track record—as they become better estimators, they’ll generate a narrower range of possible ship dates
- Estimates for all uncompleted tasks
- The developer’s schedule (including holidays, vacations, etc.)
You can adjust the input parameters and see how the schedule changes. Answer questions like, “What happens if we only do top priority tasks?” Or, “When will we hit milestone 1?”
- Learn how it works in the EBS whitepaper
